**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on July 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 2?
13°C 45%
12°C 30%
11°C 9%
14°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 jul 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
9%
12°C
30%
13°C
45%
14°C
8%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
1%
13°C 45%
12°C 30%
11°C 9%
14°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 jul 2026
6°C or below
$47 Vol.
1%
7°C
$30 Vol.
1%
8°C
$40 Vol.
1%
9°C
$102 Vol.
4%
10°C
$41 Vol.
4%
11°C
$162 Vol.
9%
12°C
$252 Vol.
30%
13°C
$291 Vol.
45%
14°C
$100 Vol.
8%
15°C
$51 Vol.
4%
16°C or higher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,151Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,151Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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