The market-implied odds strongly favor more than nine magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide during June 8–14 because the USGS National Earthquake Information Center routinely records several such events daily as part of normal global seismic activity driven by tectonic plate movements. On average, hundreds of M5.5+ quakes occur annually, producing weekly totals well above this threshold under typical conditions. Recent detections, including a magnitude 5.7 event off the Oregon coast in early June and scattered activity along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones, align with this established pattern. While model consensus and observational data support the high probability, an unusually quiet week remains possible though statistically uncommon, and final resolution will depend on the complete USGS catalog through the period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos sismos de 5,5 ou mais de 8 de junho a 14 de junho?
Quantos sismos de 5,5 ou mais de 8 de junho a 14 de junho?
>9 96%
8 3.3%
9 2.5%
7 <1%
$26,288 Vol.
$26,288 Vol.
15 jun 2026
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
1%
7
1%
8
3%
9
3%
>9
96%
>9 96%
8 3.3%
9 2.5%
7 <1%
$26,288 Vol.
$26,288 Vol.
15 jun 2026
≤3
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
4
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
5
$3,737 Vol.
<1%
6
$3,548 Vol.
1%
7
$2,373 Vol.
1%
8
$2,496 Vol.
3%
9
$2,579 Vol.
3%
>9
$5,901 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The market-implied odds strongly favor more than nine magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide during June 8–14 because the USGS National Earthquake Information Center routinely records several such events daily as part of normal global seismic activity driven by tectonic plate movements. On average, hundreds of M5.5+ quakes occur annually, producing weekly totals well above this threshold under typical conditions. Recent detections, including a magnitude 5.7 event off the Oregon coast in early June and scattered activity along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones, align with this established pattern. While model consensus and observational data support the high probability, an unusually quiet week remains possible though statistically uncommon, and final resolution will depend on the complete USGS catalog through the period.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$26,288Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The market-implied odds strongly favor more than nine magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide during June 8–14 because the USGS National Earthquake Information Center routinely records several such events daily as part of normal global seismic activity driven by tectonic plate movements. On average, hundreds of M5.5+ quakes occur annually, producing weekly totals well above this threshold under typical conditions. Recent detections, including a magnitude 5.7 event off the Oregon coast in early June and scattered activity along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones, align with this established pattern. While model consensus and observational data support the high probability, an unusually quiet week remains possible though statistically uncommon, and final resolution will depend on the complete USGS catalog through the period.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$26,288Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds strongly favor more than nine magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes worldwide during June 8–14 because the USGS National Earthquake Information Center routinely records several such events daily as part of normal global seismic activity driven by tectonic plate movements. On average, hundreds of M5.5+ quakes occur annually, producing weekly totals well above this threshold under typical conditions. Recent detections, including a magnitude 5.7 event off the Oregon coast in early June and scattered activity along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones, align with this established pattern. While model consensus and observational data support the high probability, an unusually quiet week remains possible though statistically uncommon, and final resolution will depend on the complete USGS catalog through the period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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