Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 12 de junho?
17°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Vol.
$14,106 Vol.
10°C ou menos
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Sim
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C ou mais
Não
17°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Vol.
$14,106 Vol.
10°C ou menos
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Sim
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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