**Trader sentiment centers on Meiyu (plum rain) conditions moderating Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 16.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle suppress radiative cooling, keeping lows clustered near 22–23 °C rather than allowing clearer-sky drops toward 20 °C or below. Recent model runs from major centers show consensus on overcast skies and weak southerly flow, with small spreads in timing of any showers creating the tight probability distribution (23 °C at 33 %, 22 °C at 29 %, 24 °C at 21 %). Historical June baselines place average minima around 21–22 °C, but the active frontal zone this week adds modest upward bias. Updated high-resolution guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 16 de junho?
23°C 33%
22°C 29%
24°C 21%
21°C 12%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
33%
24°C
21%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 33%
22°C 29%
24°C 21%
21°C 12%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
33%
24°C
21%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on Meiyu (plum rain) conditions moderating Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 16.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light rain or drizzle suppress radiative cooling, keeping lows clustered near 22–23 °C rather than allowing clearer-sky drops toward 20 °C or below. Recent model runs from major centers show consensus on overcast skies and weak southerly flow, with small spreads in timing of any showers creating the tight probability distribution (23 °C at 33 %, 22 °C at 29 %, 24 °C at 21 %). Historical June baselines place average minima around 21–22 °C, but the active frontal zone this week adds modest upward bias. Updated high-resolution guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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