Persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 14 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 14 de junho?
22°C 63.7%
23°C 37%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,315 Vol.
$139,315 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
64%
23°C
37%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
22°C 63.7%
23°C 37%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,315 Vol.
$139,315 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
$1,007 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$7,484 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$36,426 Vol.
64%
23°C
$18,097 Vol.
37%
24°C
$20,427 Vol.
1%
25°C
$14,970 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,581 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,016 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,426 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,357 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$5,702 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$139,315Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$139,315Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and onshore flow from the East China Sea have suppressed daytime heating in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, aligning with official forecasts of a daily maximum near 24°C (75–76°F) but favoring the 22°C outcome at 78.5% implied probability. This reflects the ongoing plum rain (meiyu) season’s typical late-spring/early-summer conditions, where stratiform clouds and moderate humidity limit solar insolation and cap temperatures below the mid-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows minimal warming potential through the afternoon, with overcast skies and light winds reducing the chance of reaching 23°C or higher to just 22%. The market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C underscores trader recognition of these verifiable observational constraints ahead of the official station reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions