Current weather model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center points to a Beijing daily maximum of 28°C on June 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, following overnight precipitation that promotes boundary-layer mixing and curbs daytime solar heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when highs typically range 28–32°C amid variable monsoon influences. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to 28°C because real-time observations and ensemble runs show limited potential for stronger warming. Clearer skies or enhanced southerly advection could still push readings to 29–30°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim em 14 de junho?
28°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$120,296 Vol.
$120,296 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$120,296 Vol.
$120,296 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center points to a Beijing daily maximum of 28°C on June 14 under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, following overnight precipitation that promotes boundary-layer mixing and curbs daytime solar heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when highs typically range 28–32°C amid variable monsoon influences. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to 28°C because real-time observations and ensemble runs show limited potential for stronger warming. Clearer skies or enhanced southerly advection could still push readings to 29–30°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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