Forecast models from major meteorological centers project a daily maximum near 33°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies consistent with early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs range 28–33°C amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating from typical cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.6% for the 33°C outcome reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and absence of signals for significant warming or cooling. Outliers such as 35°C or 31°C or below would require unexpected shifts in regional pressure gradients, enhanced convection suppressing temperatures, or clearer skies boosting insolation beyond current model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 99.6%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$54,588 Vol.
$54,588 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$54,588 Vol.
$54,588 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major meteorological centers project a daily maximum near 33°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies consistent with early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average highs range 28–33°C amid moderate humidity and limited solar heating from typical cloud cover. Trader consensus at 99.6% for the 33°C outcome reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and absence of signals for significant warming or cooling. Outliers such as 35°C or 31°C or below would require unexpected shifts in regional pressure gradients, enhanced convection suppressing temperatures, or clearer skies boosting insolation beyond current model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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