**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 highest temperature centers on 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes (combined ~78.5% implied probability), driven by the city's typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin.** June marks the onset of the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderate precipitation that often caps daytime maxima well below peak summer levels. Historical climatology shows average June highs near 28–30°C, frequently tempered by overcast skies and monsoon moisture. Short-range model guidance available as of mid-June 2026 points to cloudy or overcast conditions on the 16th, with forecast highs around 30–31°C but notable downside risk from increased cloudiness or light rain, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees. This uncertainty—coupled with the basin's tendency for localized cooling under persistent stratus—explains why markets assign only modest probability to 30°C+ outcomes and near-zero odds above 33°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or international model updates in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C ou menos 37%
28°C 24%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
27°C ou menos
37%
28°C
24%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
27°C ou menos 37%
28°C 24%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
27°C ou menos
$265 Vol.
37%
28°C
$93 Vol.
24%
29°C
$56 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$259 Vol.
5%
32°C
$20 Vol.
4%
33°C
$492 Vol.
1%
34°C
$544 Vol.
1%
35°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou mais
$856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 highest temperature centers on 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes (combined ~78.5% implied probability), driven by the city's typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin.** June marks the onset of the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderate precipitation that often caps daytime maxima well below peak summer levels. Historical climatology shows average June highs near 28–30°C, frequently tempered by overcast skies and monsoon moisture.
Short-range model guidance available as of mid-June 2026 points to cloudy or overcast conditions on the 16th, with forecast highs around 30–31°C but notable downside risk from increased cloudiness or light rain, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees. This uncertainty—coupled with the basin's tendency for localized cooling under persistent stratus—explains why markets assign only modest probability to 30°C+ outcomes and near-zero odds above 33°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or international model updates in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$3,679Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 highest temperature centers on 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes (combined ~78.5% implied probability), driven by the city's typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin.** June marks the onset of the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderate precipitation that often caps daytime maxima well below peak summer levels. Historical climatology shows average June highs near 28–30°C, frequently tempered by overcast skies and monsoon moisture.
Short-range model guidance available as of mid-June 2026 points to cloudy or overcast conditions on the 16th, with forecast highs around 30–31°C but notable downside risk from increased cloudiness or light rain, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees. This uncertainty—coupled with the basin's tendency for localized cooling under persistent stratus—explains why markets assign only modest probability to 30°C+ outcomes and near-zero odds above 33°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or international model updates in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,679Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 highest temperature centers on 27–29°C as the most probable outcomes (combined ~78.5% implied probability), driven by the city's typical early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin.** June marks the onset of the rainy season, with frequent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderate precipitation that often caps daytime maxima well below peak summer levels. Historical climatology shows average June highs near 28–30°C, frequently tempered by overcast skies and monsoon moisture. Short-range model guidance available as of mid-June 2026 points to cloudy or overcast conditions on the 16th, with forecast highs around 30–31°C but notable downside risk from increased cloudiness or light rain, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees. This uncertainty—coupled with the basin's tendency for localized cooling under persistent stratus—explains why markets assign only modest probability to 30°C+ outcomes and near-zero odds above 33°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or international model updates in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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