**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14 heavily favors 32°C due to strong alignment with seasonal climatology and current forecast consensus.** In mid-June, Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily maxima around 31–33°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows persistent warm, moist air masses with only modest cooling from expected showers or thunderstorms, keeping the peak near the long-term average high of ~32°C. Recent developments, including stable steering patterns and limited frontal influence, reinforce this positioning with minimal day-to-day volatility. The 98.6% market-implied probability reflects traders' assessment of tight uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts, where deviations of more than 1–2°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts. Realistic scenarios that could challenge 32°C include intensified or prolonged rainfall from enhanced monsoon activity, which might suppress the maximum to 30–31°C, or an unexpected influx of cooler northerly flow—though both appear low-probability based on the latest model runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
32°C 98.6%
33°C or higher 1.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$55,632 Vol.
$55,632 Vol.
14 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C or higher
2%
32°C 98.6%
33°C or higher 1.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$55,632 Vol.
$55,632 Vol.
14 jun 2026
23°C or below
$151 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,315 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,364 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,932 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,844 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,059 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,817 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,353 Vol.
99%
33°C or higher
$9,277 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14 heavily favors 32°C due to strong alignment with seasonal climatology and current forecast consensus.** In mid-June, Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily maxima around 31–33°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows persistent warm, moist air masses with only modest cooling from expected showers or thunderstorms, keeping the peak near the long-term average high of ~32°C.
Recent developments, including stable steering patterns and limited frontal influence, reinforce this positioning with minimal day-to-day volatility. The 98.6% market-implied probability reflects traders' assessment of tight uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts, where deviations of more than 1–2°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge 32°C include intensified or prolonged rainfall from enhanced monsoon activity, which might suppress the maximum to 30–31°C, or an unexpected influx of cooler northerly flow—though both appear low-probability based on the latest model runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$55,632Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14 heavily favors 32°C due to strong alignment with seasonal climatology and current forecast consensus.** In mid-June, Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily maxima around 31–33°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows persistent warm, moist air masses with only modest cooling from expected showers or thunderstorms, keeping the peak near the long-term average high of ~32°C.
Recent developments, including stable steering patterns and limited frontal influence, reinforce this positioning with minimal day-to-day volatility. The 98.6% market-implied probability reflects traders' assessment of tight uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts, where deviations of more than 1–2°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts.
Realistic scenarios that could challenge 32°C include intensified or prolonged rainfall from enhanced monsoon activity, which might suppress the maximum to 30–31°C, or an unexpected influx of cooler northerly flow—though both appear low-probability based on the latest model runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,632Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14 heavily favors 32°C due to strong alignment with seasonal climatology and current forecast consensus.** In mid-June, Guangzhou's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces daily maxima around 31–33°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows persistent warm, moist air masses with only modest cooling from expected showers or thunderstorms, keeping the peak near the long-term average high of ~32°C. Recent developments, including stable steering patterns and limited frontal influence, reinforce this positioning with minimal day-to-day volatility. The 98.6% market-implied probability reflects traders' assessment of tight uncertainty ranges in short-term forecasts, where deviations of more than 1–2°C are uncommon without major synoptic shifts. Realistic scenarios that could challenge 32°C include intensified or prolonged rainfall from enhanced monsoon activity, which might suppress the maximum to 30–31°C, or an unexpected influx of cooler northerly flow—though both appear low-probability based on the latest model runs. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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