Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently project a Moscow high near 19–20°C on June 14, 2026, under overcast skies with passing showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima hover around 20°C amid transitional spring-to-summer patterns influenced by Atlantic moisture. Recent observations show no strong high-pressure ridge or southerly flow to drive warmer anomalies, keeping surface temperatures moderate despite longer daylight. The resulting narrow range around 18–20°C underpins the market-implied odds, with 19°C holding the clearest edge as models converge on limited diurnal rise. Updated guidance through the day will refine these probabilities ahead of official readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
19°C 50%
18°C 25.1%
20°C 16%
21°C 2.7%
$55,144 Vol.
$55,144 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
25%
19°C
50%
20°C
16%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 50%
18°C 25.1%
20°C 16%
21°C 2.7%
$55,144 Vol.
$55,144 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
25%
19°C
50%
20°C
16%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently project a Moscow high near 19–20°C on June 14, 2026, under overcast skies with passing showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima hover around 20°C amid transitional spring-to-summer patterns influenced by Atlantic moisture. Recent observations show no strong high-pressure ridge or southerly flow to drive warmer anomalies, keeping surface temperatures moderate despite longer daylight. The resulting narrow range around 18–20°C underpins the market-implied odds, with 19°C holding the clearest edge as models converge on limited diurnal rise. Updated guidance through the day will refine these probabilities ahead of official readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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