Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow's June 16 maximum will likely fall between 17–19°C, reflecting a trough of cooler air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions deviate modestly below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20–22°C, creating tight clustering among the leading market outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover, wind speeds near 5 m/s, and precipitation amounts of 1–4 mm that cap peak readings; any clearing trend or drier boundary-layer air could push values toward 20–21°C, while heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 29%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 12.1%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
21%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 29%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 12.1%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
21%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow's June 16 maximum will likely fall between 17–19°C, reflecting a trough of cooler air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions deviate modestly below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20–22°C, creating tight clustering among the leading market outcomes. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover, wind speeds near 5 m/s, and precipitation amounts of 1–4 mm that cap peak readings; any clearing trend or drier boundary-layer air could push values toward 20–21°C, while heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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