Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show mostly cloudy skies on June 16 following rain on the 15th, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C. Moist air masses typical of the early tsuyu season reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight lows compared with clear-sky conditions that could drop temperatures toward 16 °C or below. Ensemble model consensus places the minimum near the seasonal average of 19 °C but with uncertainty from shifting cloud cover and any frontal passages. Updated JMA and global model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 16 de junho?
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 15%
19°C 9%
13°C ou menos
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
15%
17°C
35%
18°C
39%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 15%
19°C 9%
13°C ou menos
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
15%
17°C
35%
18°C
39%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show mostly cloudy skies on June 16 following rain on the 15th, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C. Moist air masses typical of the early tsuyu season reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight lows compared with clear-sky conditions that could drop temperatures toward 16 °C or below. Ensemble model consensus places the minimum near the seasonal average of 19 °C but with uncertainty from shifting cloud cover and any frontal passages. Updated JMA and global model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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