Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 26°C on June 13 under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures supporting trader emphasis on 25–27°C outcomes. Persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling and reduce the likelihood of extremes below 24°C, while model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Historical June minima cluster around 24–27°C, and recent multi-day trends of 24–26°C lows align with this range; any shift in cloud timing or localized rainfall could adjust the recorded minimum within the tightly grouped mid-tier probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 13 de junho?
26°C 27%
25°C 21%
27°C 21%
24°C 17%
22°C ou menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
16%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
26°C 27%
25°C 21%
27°C 21%
24°C 17%
22°C ou menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
21%
28°C
16%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum near 26°C on June 13 under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with above-normal seasonal temperatures supporting trader emphasis on 25–27°C outcomes. Persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered showers or cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling and reduce the likelihood of extremes below 24°C, while model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability. Historical June minima cluster around 24–27°C, and recent multi-day trends of 24–26°C lows align with this range; any shift in cloud timing or localized rainfall could adjust the recorded minimum within the tightly grouped mid-tier probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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