Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris overnight lows for June 13 near 13–15 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions that favor moderate radiative cooling. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, light northeasterly flow, and urban heat retention explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 15 °C, with 13 °C and 16 °C close behind. Model runs remain sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind speed, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C at official stations. Updated guidance expected late June 11–12 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 13 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 13 de junho?
15°C 38%
14°C 28%
16°C 24%
13°C 21%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
9°C ou menos
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
5%
12°C
13%
13°C
21%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
19%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
15°C 38%
14°C 28%
16°C 24%
13°C 21%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
9°C ou menos
$37 Vol.
1%
10°C
$75 Vol.
3%
11°C
$34 Vol.
5%
12°C
$22 Vol.
13%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$3 Vol.
27%
16°C
$24 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris overnight lows for June 13 near 13–15 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions that favor moderate radiative cooling. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, light northeasterly flow, and urban heat retention explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 15 °C, with 13 °C and 16 °C close behind. Model runs remain sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind speed, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C at official stations. Updated guidance expected late June 11–12 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$173Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris overnight lows for June 13 near 13–15 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions that favor moderate radiative cooling. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, light northeasterly flow, and urban heat retention explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 15 °C, with 13 °C and 16 °C close behind. Model runs remain sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind speed, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C at official stations. Updated guidance expected late June 11–12 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris overnight lows for June 13 near 13–15 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions that favor moderate radiative cooling. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, light northeasterly flow, and urban heat retention explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 15 °C, with 13 °C and 16 °C close behind. Model runs remain sensitive to small timing shifts in cloud cover or wind speed, which can alter minimum readings by 1–2 °C at official stations. Updated guidance expected late June 11–12 will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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