Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 13 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul em 13 de junho?
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
21°C ou mais 19%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
10%
16°C
26%
17°C
30%
18°C
20%
19°C
12%
20°C
9%
21°C ou mais
19%
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
21°C ou mais 19%
NOVO
NOVO
13 jun 2026
11°C ou menos
$201 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$20 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
9%
15°C
$16 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$16 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
12%
20°C
$0 Vol.
9%
21°C ou mais
$20 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$273Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$273Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 13 clustered near 16–17 °C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical nocturnal radiative cooling under early-summer high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution, where 17 °C leads at 29.5 % implied probability and 16 °C follows at 26 %. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 18 °C, but current guidance indicates slightly enhanced cooling from drier air masses. Key upcoming catalysts include the next KMA short-range update and fresh ECMWF/GFS runs, which could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind speeds increase.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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