Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 30°C in Chengdu on June 11, consistent with early-summer climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs reach 29–30°C amid rising humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push temperatures slightly higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this narrow range of likely outcomes, with lower odds on extremes underscoring historical rarity of sub-28°C or 33°C+ highs this early in the season before peak monsoon influence. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
30°C 32%
29°C 25%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
NOVO
$18,512 Vol.
NOVO
$18,512 Vol.
11 jun 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
25%
30°C
32%
31°C
16%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
29°C 25%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
NOVO
$18,512 Vol.
NOVO
$18,512 Vol.
11 jun 2026
26°C or below
$5,393 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$891 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,611 Vol.
17%
29°C
$714 Vol.
25%
30°C
$686 Vol.
32%
31°C
$365 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,030 Vol.
7%
33°C
$877 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,643 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,353 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 30°C in Chengdu on June 11, consistent with early-summer climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs reach 29–30°C amid rising humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push temperatures slightly higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this narrow range of likely outcomes, with lower odds on extremes underscoring historical rarity of sub-28°C or 33°C+ highs this early in the season before peak monsoon influence. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$18,512Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 30°C in Chengdu on June 11, consistent with early-summer climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs reach 29–30°C amid rising humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push temperatures slightly higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this narrow range of likely outcomes, with lower odds on extremes underscoring historical rarity of sub-28°C or 33°C+ highs this early in the season before peak monsoon influence. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,512Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum near 30°C in Chengdu on June 11, consistent with early-summer climatology in the Sichuan Basin where average highs reach 29–30°C amid rising humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible showers that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push temperatures slightly higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this narrow range of likely outcomes, with lower odds on extremes underscoring historical rarity of sub-28°C or 33°C+ highs this early in the season before peak monsoon influence. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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