Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$54,476 Vol.
$54,476 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$54,476 Vol.
$54,476 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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