Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 14 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 14 de junho?
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$41,144 Vol.
$41,144 Vol.
14 jun 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$41,144 Vol.
$41,144 Vol.
14 jun 2026
11°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$770 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$7,644 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,390 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,974 Vol.
100%
18°C
$10,154 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,574 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,159 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$41,144Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,144Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly flow and MetService New Zealand model guidance have sustained above-average conditions for Wellington on June 14, with afternoon temperatures reaching the 17°C threshold that now commands full market-implied odds. June climatology places typical maxima near 13°C, so this setup reflects modest warm advection consistent with observed station readings and the absence of significant cooling showers or wind shifts. Official resolution depends on MetService’s verified maximum, leaving limited room for revision unless late-day observations or data adjustments alter the peak. Updated forecast runs or briefings remain the main near-term catalysts that could still influence any residual positioning before settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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