**Trader consensus on Wellington’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on 16–17 °C because MetService’s latest forecast run projects a 16 °C peak under northwesterly flow that turns southwesterly later in the day, accompanied by increasing showers.** Numerical weather models show modest spread around this value, with some guidance supporting brief clearing that could allow an extra degree of insolation while others keep more persistent cloud and rain limiting heating. Climatologically, mid-June averages near 13 °C, so the current pattern reflects a mild northerly anomaly that has already produced early-month records above 19 °C. Resolution hinges on the official MetService observation; any last-minute model shift in cloud timing or wind strength could tip the balance between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 46%
16°C 44%
18°C 5%
15°C 4.0%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
44%
17°C
46%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 44%
18°C 5%
15°C 4.0%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
44%
17°C
46%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Wellington’s June 15 maximum temperature centers on 16–17 °C because MetService’s latest forecast run projects a 16 °C peak under northwesterly flow that turns southwesterly later in the day, accompanied by increasing showers.** Numerical weather models show modest spread around this value, with some guidance supporting brief clearing that could allow an extra degree of insolation while others keep more persistent cloud and rain limiting heating. Climatologically, mid-June averages near 13 °C, so the current pattern reflects a mild northerly anomaly that has already produced early-month records above 19 °C. Resolution hinges on the official MetService observation; any last-minute model shift in cloud timing or wind strength could tip the balance between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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