**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s June 15 highest temperature centers on 34–35 °C as the most probable outcomes, together commanding over 75 % of the market.** This positioning reflects climatological norms for mid-June, when Karachi’s coastal location and prevailing Arabian Sea sea breeze typically cap daytime maxima near 93–94 °F (34–35 °C), with AccuWeather’s seasonal guidance showing a 91–98 °F envelope and no strong signals for deviation. Recent observations through mid-June have remained consistent with these averages, featuring moderate westerly flow and patchy cloud cover that further limits extreme heating. Model consensus does not indicate an approaching trough or delayed sea breeze that would push readings into the 36 °C+ range, keeping the 36 °C and higher brackets at single-digit implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official Pakistan Meteorological Department station reading; any last-minute shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter the exact peak, but current data favor the narrow 34–35 °C window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 15 de junho?
35°C 42%
34°C 33%
33°C 12%
36°C 10%
$13,127 Vol.
$13,127 Vol.
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
33%
35°C
42%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 33%
33°C 12%
36°C 10%
$13,127 Vol.
$13,127 Vol.
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
33%
35°C
42%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi’s June 15 highest temperature centers on 34–35 °C as the most probable outcomes, together commanding over 75 % of the market.** This positioning reflects climatological norms for mid-June, when Karachi’s coastal location and prevailing Arabian Sea sea breeze typically cap daytime maxima near 93–94 °F (34–35 °C), with AccuWeather’s seasonal guidance showing a 91–98 °F envelope and no strong signals for deviation. Recent observations through mid-June have remained consistent with these averages, featuring moderate westerly flow and patchy cloud cover that further limits extreme heating. Model consensus does not indicate an approaching trough or delayed sea breeze that would push readings into the 36 °C+ range, keeping the 36 °C and higher brackets at single-digit implied probabilities. Resolution hinges on the official Pakistan Meteorological Department station reading; any last-minute shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter the exact peak, but current data favor the narrow 34–35 °C window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions