Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila indicate a daytime high of 34°C on June 16 with 30% rain chance, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 32–33°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating absent clear skies or drier air, while historical variability supports a narrow distribution around 33–35°C. Traders appear to be weighting official agency outlooks and recent model consistency, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 36°C or below 32°C given the expected monsoon moderation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 42%
35°C 22%
33°C 21%
36°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
42%
35°C
22%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
1%
34°C 42%
35°C 22%
33°C 21%
36°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
28°C ou menos
$17 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9 Vol.
1%
31°C
$124 Vol.
1%
32°C
$346 Vol.
4%
33°C
$31 Vol.
21%
34°C
$61 Vol.
42%
35°C
$18 Vol.
22%
36°C
$23 Vol.
8%
37°C
$12 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila indicate a daytime high of 34°C on June 16 with 30% rain chance, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 32–33°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating absent clear skies or drier air, while historical variability supports a narrow distribution around 33–35°C. Traders appear to be weighting official agency outlooks and recent model consistency, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 36°C or below 32°C given the expected monsoon moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$684Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila indicate a daytime high of 34°C on June 16 with 30% rain chance, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 32–33°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating absent clear skies or drier air, while historical variability supports a narrow distribution around 33–35°C. Traders appear to be weighting official agency outlooks and recent model consistency, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 36°C or below 32°C given the expected monsoon moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$684Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila indicate a daytime high of 34°C on June 16 with 30% rain chance, aligning with the market's leading 42% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon has begun, bringing increased cloud cover and scattered showers that typically cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 32–33°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating absent clear skies or drier air, while historical variability supports a narrow distribution around 33–35°C. Traders appear to be weighting official agency outlooks and recent model consistency, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 36°C or below 32°C given the expected monsoon moderation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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