Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 15, 2026, project a daytime high of 34°C with a 40% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, aligning with trader emphasis on 33°C as the leading outcome. The monsoon’s increased cloud cover and scattered showers typically moderate peak afternoon temperatures below dry-season averages of 32–33°C, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency around this range, though slight variations in rainfall timing could shift the daily maximum between 32°C and 34°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific window, with lower odds on extremes given the season’s climatological baseline and ongoing monitoring by Philippine weather agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 15 de junho?
33°C 47%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 3.5%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
25%
33°C
47%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 3.5%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
28°C ou menos
$677 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$221 Vol.
1%
30°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$482 Vol.
3%
32°C
$167 Vol.
25%
33°C
$152 Vol.
47%
34°C
$801 Vol.
22%
35°C
$421 Vol.
3%
36°C
$154 Vol.
1%
37°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou mais
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 15, 2026, project a daytime high of 34°C with a 40% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, aligning with trader emphasis on 33°C as the leading outcome. The monsoon’s increased cloud cover and scattered showers typically moderate peak afternoon temperatures below dry-season averages of 32–33°C, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency around this range, though slight variations in rainfall timing could shift the daily maximum between 32°C and 34°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific window, with lower odds on extremes given the season’s climatological baseline and ongoing monitoring by Philippine weather agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$3,380Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 15, 2026, project a daytime high of 34°C with a 40% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, aligning with trader emphasis on 33°C as the leading outcome. The monsoon’s increased cloud cover and scattered showers typically moderate peak afternoon temperatures below dry-season averages of 32–33°C, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency around this range, though slight variations in rainfall timing could shift the daily maximum between 32°C and 34°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific window, with lower odds on extremes given the season’s climatological baseline and ongoing monitoring by Philippine weather agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,380Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 15, 2026, project a daytime high of 34°C with a 40% rain chance under southwest monsoon influence, aligning with trader emphasis on 33°C as the leading outcome. The monsoon’s increased cloud cover and scattered showers typically moderate peak afternoon temperatures below dry-season averages of 32–33°C, while high humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency around this range, though slight variations in rainfall timing could shift the daily maximum between 32°C and 34°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific window, with lower odds on extremes given the season’s climatological baseline and ongoing monitoring by Philippine weather agencies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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