Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show tight clustering around daily maxima of 29–30°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and weak southerly advection of warmer continental air. Minor spreads in outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cloud fraction, timing of any weak frontal passage, and nocturnal radiative cooling rates that could trim or enhance the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. With climatological mid-June normals near 23–24°C and recent days already reaching 27–31°C under similar synoptic conditions, traders price the narrow 28–31°C band most heavily, reflecting both model consensus and the limited time left for major pattern shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 34%
29°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
$42 Vol.
1%
26°C
$47 Vol.
2%
27°C
$271 Vol.
5%
28°C
$111 Vol.
15%
29°C
$327 Vol.
34%
30°C
$178 Vol.
34%
31°C
$447 Vol.
11%
32°C
$160 Vol.
5%
33°C
$283 Vol.
1%
34°C
$80 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$177 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show tight clustering around daily maxima of 29–30°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and weak southerly advection of warmer continental air. Minor spreads in outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cloud fraction, timing of any weak frontal passage, and nocturnal radiative cooling rates that could trim or enhance the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. With climatological mid-June normals near 23–24°C and recent days already reaching 27–31°C under similar synoptic conditions, traders price the narrow 28–31°C band most heavily, reflecting both model consensus and the limited time left for major pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$2,060Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show tight clustering around daily maxima of 29–30°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and weak southerly advection of warmer continental air. Minor spreads in outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cloud fraction, timing of any weak frontal passage, and nocturnal radiative cooling rates that could trim or enhance the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. With climatological mid-June normals near 23–24°C and recent days already reaching 27–31°C under similar synoptic conditions, traders price the narrow 28–31°C band most heavily, reflecting both model consensus and the limited time left for major pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,060Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from European and global models show tight clustering around daily maxima of 29–30°C for Paris on June 16, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and weak southerly advection of warmer continental air. Minor spreads in outcomes hinge on subtle differences in boundary-layer cloud fraction, timing of any weak frontal passage, and nocturnal radiative cooling rates that could trim or enhance the afternoon peak by 1–2°C. With climatological mid-June normals near 23–24°C and recent days already reaching 27–31°C under similar synoptic conditions, traders price the narrow 28–31°C band most heavily, reflecting both model consensus and the limited time left for major pattern shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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