Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions over Paris on June 15 under building high pressure, with afternoon maxima expected near 26–28 °C. This follows a warm, stable weekend that allowed boundary-layer warming and reduced cloud cover, favoring the market’s leading 28 °C (43.5 %) and 29 °C (30.5 %) outcomes. Ensemble spread remains modest, but minor timing differences in any residual moisture or local urban heat-island effects could shift the daily high by 1 °C either way. Updated runs ahead of the 15 June observation window will be the key near-term driver of any further probability shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 44%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 6.5%
$20,296 Vol.
$20,296 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
44%
29°C
31%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 6.5%
$20,296 Vol.
$20,296 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
44%
29°C
31%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions over Paris on June 15 under building high pressure, with afternoon maxima expected near 26–28 °C. This follows a warm, stable weekend that allowed boundary-layer warming and reduced cloud cover, favoring the market’s leading 28 °C (43.5 %) and 29 °C (30.5 %) outcomes. Ensemble spread remains modest, but minor timing differences in any residual moisture or local urban heat-island effects could shift the daily high by 1 °C either way. Updated runs ahead of the 15 June observation window will be the key near-term driver of any further probability shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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