Recent Météo-France and ensemble model consensus positions 25–26 °C as the most probable maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Traders favor these outcomes because small variations in afternoon cloud development or wind speed can shift the peak by 1 °C, keeping the two bins nearly tied at 46 % and 41.5 %. Warmer scenarios above 27 °C remain low-probability outliers requiring stronger subsidence or reduced mixing, while cooler results hinge on unexpected marine air intrusion. Updated afternoon observations and final model runs will resolve the narrow spread before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 44%
26°C 42%
24°C 7.5%
27°C 6.1%
$53,337 Vol.
$53,337 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
44%
26°C
42%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
26°C 42%
24°C 7.5%
27°C 6.1%
$53,337 Vol.
$53,337 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
$3,004 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,550 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,263 Vol.
1%
24°C
$8,906 Vol.
8%
25°C
$6,653 Vol.
44%
26°C
$6,568 Vol.
42%
27°C
$7,573 Vol.
6%
28°C
$6,601 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,471 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,499 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model consensus positions 25–26 °C as the most probable maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Traders favor these outcomes because small variations in afternoon cloud development or wind speed can shift the peak by 1 °C, keeping the two bins nearly tied at 46 % and 41.5 %. Warmer scenarios above 27 °C remain low-probability outliers requiring stronger subsidence or reduced mixing, while cooler results hinge on unexpected marine air intrusion. Updated afternoon observations and final model runs will resolve the narrow spread before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$53,337Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model consensus positions 25–26 °C as the most probable maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Traders favor these outcomes because small variations in afternoon cloud development or wind speed can shift the peak by 1 °C, keeping the two bins nearly tied at 46 % and 41.5 %. Warmer scenarios above 27 °C remain low-probability outliers requiring stronger subsidence or reduced mixing, while cooler results hinge on unexpected marine air intrusion. Updated afternoon observations and final model runs will resolve the narrow spread before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,337Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model consensus positions 25–26 °C as the most probable maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Traders favor these outcomes because small variations in afternoon cloud development or wind speed can shift the peak by 1 °C, keeping the two bins nearly tied at 46 % and 41.5 %. Warmer scenarios above 27 °C remain low-probability outliers requiring stronger subsidence or reduced mixing, while cooler results hinge on unexpected marine air intrusion. Updated afternoon observations and final model runs will resolve the narrow spread before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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