Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C amid mostly cloudy skies, thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating and no significant warm-air advection, aligning closely with the 16–17°C range in official guidance from sources like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. The market's 99.4% implied probability on exactly 17°C reflects traders' confidence in these real-time data and minimal forecast spread. A sudden clearing of clouds or unexpected southerly flow could push readings higher, though current trends make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 14 de junho?
17°C 99.3%
18°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
10°C ou menos <1%
$69,226 Vol.
$69,226 Vol.
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 99.3%
18°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
10°C ou menos <1%
$69,226 Vol.
$69,226 Vol.
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C amid mostly cloudy skies, thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating and no significant warm-air advection, aligning closely with the 16–17°C range in official guidance from sources like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. The market's 99.4% implied probability on exactly 17°C reflects traders' confidence in these real-time data and minimal forecast spread. A sudden clearing of clouds or unexpected southerly flow could push readings higher, though current trends make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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