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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?

25°C 37.0%

26°C 33.7%

24°C 8.3%

23°C 1.5%

Polymarket

$51,306 Vol.

25°C 37.0%

26°C 33.7%

24°C 8.3%

23°C 1.5%

Polymarket

$51,306 Vol.

22°C ou menos

$1,904 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$4,684 Vol.

1%

24°C

$3,685 Vol.

13%

25°C

$4,286 Vol.

37%

26°C

$6,887 Vol.

45%

27°C

$7,581 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$17,269 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$6,709 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$506 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$463 Vol.

<1%

32°C ou superior

$1,756 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 14, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and showers under an active southwest monsoon limit nighttime radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with June climatology, where average lows hover around 26–27°C, though the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures overall is tempered by unsettled conditions that favor readings clustered at 25–26°C. Model consensus shows little potential for stronger cooling to 24°C or below without clearer skies or unusual wind shifts, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest daily guidance heavily ahead of overnight observations, with resolution hinging on official Hong Kong Observatory minimum readings.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,306
Data de Término
14 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 14, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and showers under an active southwest monsoon limit nighttime radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with June climatology, where average lows hover around 26–27°C, though the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures overall is tempered by unsettled conditions that favor readings clustered at 25–26°C. Model consensus shows little potential for stronger cooling to 24°C or below without clearer skies or unusual wind shifts, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest daily guidance heavily ahead of overnight observations, with resolution hinging on official Hong Kong Observatory minimum readings.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,306
Data de Término
14 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "26°C" at 45%, followed by "25°C" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?" has generated $51.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?" is "26°C" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.