**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 14, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and showers under an active southwest monsoon limit nighttime radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with June climatology, where average lows hover around 26–27°C, though the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures overall is tempered by unsettled conditions that favor readings clustered at 25–26°C. Model consensus shows little potential for stronger cooling to 24°C or below without clearer skies or unusual wind shifts, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest daily guidance heavily ahead of overnight observations, with resolution hinging on official Hong Kong Observatory minimum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de junho?
25°C 37.0%
26°C 33.7%
24°C 8.3%
23°C 1.5%
$51,306 Vol.
$51,306 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
37%
26°C
45%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou superior
<1%
25°C 37.0%
26°C 33.7%
24°C 8.3%
23°C 1.5%
$51,306 Vol.
$51,306 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
37%
26°C
45%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou superior
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 14, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and showers under an active southwest monsoon limit nighttime radiative cooling.** This setup aligns with June climatology, where average lows hover around 26–27°C, though the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures overall is tempered by unsettled conditions that favor readings clustered at 25–26°C. Model consensus shows little potential for stronger cooling to 24°C or below without clearer skies or unusual wind shifts, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the latest daily guidance heavily ahead of overnight observations, with resolution hinging on official Hong Kong Observatory minimum readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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