**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires for June 15, 2026, near 13–15 °C, aligning with early-winter climatology of approximately 15 °C.** Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions under a subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited warm-air advection and moderate marine effects from the Río de la Plata estuary moderating temperatures. No significant cold fronts or warm intrusions appear in the latest model guidance, keeping outcomes clustered around the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Market-implied probabilities—led by 14 °C at 35 % followed by 15 °C (22 %) and 13 °C (20 %)—reflect this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise official maximum, which depends on the timing of peak heating and local measurement at the reference station. Historical analogs for mid-June show similar variability of ±2 °C under comparable synoptic patterns, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 15 de junho?
14°C 35%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
12°C 8.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
22%
14°C
35%
15°C
22%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
1%
14°C 35%
13°C 22%
15°C 22%
12°C 8.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
7°C or below
$155 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$262 Vol.
1%
11°C
$185 Vol.
3%
12°C
$212 Vol.
8%
13°C
$384 Vol.
22%
14°C
$95 Vol.
35%
15°C
$570 Vol.
22%
16°C
$260 Vol.
6%
17°C or higher
$115 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires for June 15, 2026, near 13–15 °C, aligning with early-winter climatology of approximately 15 °C.**
Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions under a subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited warm-air advection and moderate marine effects from the Río de la Plata estuary moderating temperatures. No significant cold fronts or warm intrusions appear in the latest model guidance, keeping outcomes clustered around the seasonal norm rather than extremes.
Market-implied probabilities—led by 14 °C at 35 % followed by 15 °C (22 %) and 13 °C (20 %)—reflect this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise official maximum, which depends on the timing of peak heating and local measurement at the reference station. Historical analogs for mid-June show similar variability of ±2 °C under comparable synoptic patterns, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,686Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires for June 15, 2026, near 13–15 °C, aligning with early-winter climatology of approximately 15 °C.**
Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions under a subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited warm-air advection and moderate marine effects from the Río de la Plata estuary moderating temperatures. No significant cold fronts or warm intrusions appear in the latest model guidance, keeping outcomes clustered around the seasonal norm rather than extremes.
Market-implied probabilities—led by 14 °C at 35 % followed by 15 °C (22 %) and 13 °C (20 %)—reflect this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise official maximum, which depends on the timing of peak heating and local measurement at the reference station. Historical analogs for mid-June show similar variability of ±2 °C under comparable synoptic patterns, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,686Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions the daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires for June 15, 2026, near 13–15 °C, aligning with early-winter climatology of approximately 15 °C.** Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions under a subtropical high-pressure influence, with limited warm-air advection and moderate marine effects from the Río de la Plata estuary moderating temperatures. No significant cold fronts or warm intrusions appear in the latest model guidance, keeping outcomes clustered around the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Market-implied probabilities—led by 14 °C at 35 % followed by 15 °C (22 %) and 13 °C (20 %)—reflect this tight range and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise official maximum, which depends on the timing of peak heating and local measurement at the reference station. Historical analogs for mid-June show similar variability of ±2 °C under comparable synoptic patterns, supporting trader focus on these central outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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