Current forecasts from meteorological models position a daily maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 47.5% for that threshold and 25.5% for 17°C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town's Mediterranean climate typically features highs averaging 16–17°C amid frequent cold fronts and onshore flow from the Atlantic, which moderate temperatures and limit daytime warming. Recent synoptic patterns show a coastal low and associated showers reinforcing cooler conditions, consistent with historical June baselines where maxima rarely exceed 18°C or drop below 14°C without unusual blocking highs. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, including any shifts in steering winds or cloud cover, will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 15 de junho?
16°C 50%
17°C 23%
15°C 16%
18°C 4.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
16%
16°C
50%
17°C
23%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 23%
15°C 16%
18°C 4.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
11°C ou menos
$56 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$172 Vol.
1%
14°C
$401 Vol.
2%
15°C
$143 Vol.
16%
16°C
$267 Vol.
50%
17°C
$108 Vol.
23%
18°C
$275 Vol.
4%
19°C
$61 Vol.
2%
20°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou mais
$681 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models position a daily maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 47.5% for that threshold and 25.5% for 17°C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town's Mediterranean climate typically features highs averaging 16–17°C amid frequent cold fronts and onshore flow from the Atlantic, which moderate temperatures and limit daytime warming. Recent synoptic patterns show a coastal low and associated showers reinforcing cooler conditions, consistent with historical June baselines where maxima rarely exceed 18°C or drop below 14°C without unusual blocking highs. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, including any shifts in steering winds or cloud cover, will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,604Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models position a daily maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 47.5% for that threshold and 25.5% for 17°C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town's Mediterranean climate typically features highs averaging 16–17°C amid frequent cold fronts and onshore flow from the Atlantic, which moderate temperatures and limit daytime warming. Recent synoptic patterns show a coastal low and associated showers reinforcing cooler conditions, consistent with historical June baselines where maxima rarely exceed 18°C or drop below 14°C without unusual blocking highs. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, including any shifts in steering winds or cloud cover, will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,604Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models position a daily maximum near 16°C as the most probable outcome for Cape Town on June 15, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 47.5% for that threshold and 25.5% for 17°C. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, Cape Town's Mediterranean climate typically features highs averaging 16–17°C amid frequent cold fronts and onshore flow from the Atlantic, which moderate temperatures and limit daytime warming. Recent synoptic patterns show a coastal low and associated showers reinforcing cooler conditions, consistent with historical June baselines where maxima rarely exceed 18°C or drop below 14°C without unusual blocking highs. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours, including any shifts in steering winds or cloud cover, will be the key variables for traders monitoring resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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