**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity, and possible early showers is the main driver keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 37–39 °C for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum.** Pre-monsoon conditions in northern India typically produce intense daytime heating under clear skies, with historical June highs often reaching 39–42 °C, yet recent IMD outlooks and short-range model runs show scattered thundershowers or increased afternoon cloudiness that could limit peak temperatures by several degrees. This variability explains why 38 °C (36 %) and 37 °C (31 %) lead the market while higher outcomes like 40 °C+ carry single-digit implied probabilities. Traders are weighing the balance between strong surface heating and the timing and extent of any moisture influx, with resolution hinging on the official India Meteorological Department observation for the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 15 de junho?
38°C 36%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 7%
NOVO
$11,659 Vol.
NOVO
$11,659 Vol.
15 jun 2026
34°C ou menos
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C
31%
38°C
36%
39°C
16%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C ou mais
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 31%
39°C 16%
36°C 7%
NOVO
$11,659 Vol.
NOVO
$11,659 Vol.
15 jun 2026
34°C ou menos
$1,876 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,050 Vol.
3%
36°C
$532 Vol.
7%
37°C
$256 Vol.
31%
38°C
$702 Vol.
36%
39°C
$1,602 Vol.
16%
40°C
$1,230 Vol.
6%
41°C
$2,198 Vol.
1%
42°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
44°C ou mais
$637 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity, and possible early showers is the main driver keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 37–39 °C for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum.** Pre-monsoon conditions in northern India typically produce intense daytime heating under clear skies, with historical June highs often reaching 39–42 °C, yet recent IMD outlooks and short-range model runs show scattered thundershowers or increased afternoon cloudiness that could limit peak temperatures by several degrees. This variability explains why 38 °C (36 %) and 37 °C (31 %) lead the market while higher outcomes like 40 °C+ carry single-digit implied probabilities. Traders are weighing the balance between strong surface heating and the timing and extent of any moisture influx, with resolution hinging on the official India Meteorological Department observation for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,659Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity, and possible early showers is the main driver keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 37–39 °C for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum.** Pre-monsoon conditions in northern India typically produce intense daytime heating under clear skies, with historical June highs often reaching 39–42 °C, yet recent IMD outlooks and short-range model runs show scattered thundershowers or increased afternoon cloudiness that could limit peak temperatures by several degrees. This variability explains why 38 °C (36 %) and 37 °C (31 %) lead the market while higher outcomes like 40 °C+ carry single-digit implied probabilities. Traders are weighing the balance between strong surface heating and the timing and extent of any moisture influx, with resolution hinging on the official India Meteorological Department observation for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,659Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity, and possible early showers is the main driver keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 37–39 °C for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum.** Pre-monsoon conditions in northern India typically produce intense daytime heating under clear skies, with historical June highs often reaching 39–42 °C, yet recent IMD outlooks and short-range model runs show scattered thundershowers or increased afternoon cloudiness that could limit peak temperatures by several degrees. This variability explains why 38 °C (36 %) and 37 °C (31 %) lead the market while higher outcomes like 40 °C+ carry single-digit implied probabilities. Traders are weighing the balance between strong surface heating and the timing and extent of any moisture influx, with resolution hinging on the official India Meteorological Department observation for the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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