The expectation of widespread monsoon rains and persistent cloud cover across Metro Manila on August 17 is the main driver positioning 28–29 °C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus. During the southwest monsoon season, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically suppress afternoon highs below the seasonal average of 30–31 °C, as confirmed by PAGASA’s official outlook of a 26–32 °C range with a 60 % rain probability. Recent heavy-rain advisories for August 15–17 further support this cooling effect, while model consensus from multiple sources points to limited sunshine and possible thunderstorms that would cap peaks near 29 °C. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, with new observational data from PAGASA expected to determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 17 de agosto?
29°C 46%
28°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
33%
29°C
46%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C ou mais
1%
29°C 46%
28°C 33%
30°C 14%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$92 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$109 Vol.
1%
26°C
$348 Vol.
1%
27°C
$304 Vol.
7%
28°C
$354 Vol.
33%
29°C
$1,806 Vol.
46%
30°C
$159 Vol.
14%
31°C
$292 Vol.
5%
32°C
$449 Vol.
1%
33°C ou mais
$310 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The expectation of widespread monsoon rains and persistent cloud cover across Metro Manila on August 17 is the main driver positioning 28–29 °C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus. During the southwest monsoon season, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically suppress afternoon highs below the seasonal average of 30–31 °C, as confirmed by PAGASA’s official outlook of a 26–32 °C range with a 60 % rain probability. Recent heavy-rain advisories for August 15–17 further support this cooling effect, while model consensus from multiple sources points to limited sunshine and possible thunderstorms that would cap peaks near 29 °C. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, with new observational data from PAGASA expected to determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$4,316Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The expectation of widespread monsoon rains and persistent cloud cover across Metro Manila on August 17 is the main driver positioning 28–29 °C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus. During the southwest monsoon season, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically suppress afternoon highs below the seasonal average of 30–31 °C, as confirmed by PAGASA’s official outlook of a 26–32 °C range with a 60 % rain probability. Recent heavy-rain advisories for August 15–17 further support this cooling effect, while model consensus from multiple sources points to limited sunshine and possible thunderstorms that would cap peaks near 29 °C. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, with new observational data from PAGASA expected to determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,316Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The expectation of widespread monsoon rains and persistent cloud cover across Metro Manila on August 17 is the main driver positioning 28–29 °C as the leading outcomes in trader consensus. During the southwest monsoon season, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically suppress afternoon highs below the seasonal average of 30–31 °C, as confirmed by PAGASA’s official outlook of a 26–32 °C range with a 60 % rain probability. Recent heavy-rain advisories for August 15–17 further support this cooling effect, while model consensus from multiple sources points to limited sunshine and possible thunderstorms that would cap peaks near 29 °C. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around exact maxima, with new observational data from PAGASA expected to determine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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