**Mild winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure system are positioning 24°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds at 52%.** Ensemble forecasts from major models show daytime maxima clustered near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies, moderate Atlantic winds, and low precipitation chances that suppress stronger surface heating. Long-term August climatology (average highs ~23–25°C) and recent stable patterns reinforce this range, while divergence on any weak frontal passage keeps 25°C at 22% and higher values like 26–27°C below 9% combined. Official monitoring from INMET and global agencies indicates minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with urban station data expected to resolve near the 24°C threshold by evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de agosto?
24°C 58%
25°C 23%
23°C 11%
26°C 8%
$21,447 Vol.
$21,447 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
52%
25°C
24%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 58%
25°C 23%
23°C 11%
26°C 8%
$21,447 Vol.
$21,447 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
$2,934 Vol.
1%
21°C
$845 Vol.
1%
22°C
$974 Vol.
2%
23°C
$4,946 Vol.
11%
24°C
$1,761 Vol.
52%
25°C
$2,489 Vol.
24%
26°C
$4,354 Vol.
8%
27°C
$1,694 Vol.
4%
28°C
$430 Vol.
1%
29°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure system are positioning 24°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds at 52%.** Ensemble forecasts from major models show daytime maxima clustered near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies, moderate Atlantic winds, and low precipitation chances that suppress stronger surface heating. Long-term August climatology (average highs ~23–25°C) and recent stable patterns reinforce this range, while divergence on any weak frontal passage keeps 25°C at 22% and higher values like 26–27°C below 9% combined. Official monitoring from INMET and global agencies indicates minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with urban station data expected to resolve near the 24°C threshold by evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$21,447Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure system are positioning 24°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds at 52%.** Ensemble forecasts from major models show daytime maxima clustered near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies, moderate Atlantic winds, and low precipitation chances that suppress stronger surface heating. Long-term August climatology (average highs ~23–25°C) and recent stable patterns reinforce this range, while divergence on any weak frontal passage keeps 25°C at 22% and higher values like 26–27°C below 9% combined. Official monitoring from INMET and global agencies indicates minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with urban station data expected to resolve near the 24°C threshold by evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,447Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mild winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure system are positioning 24°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s highest temperature on August 15, 2026, with market-implied odds at 52%.** Ensemble forecasts from major models show daytime maxima clustered near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies, moderate Atlantic winds, and low precipitation chances that suppress stronger surface heating. Long-term August climatology (average highs ~23–25°C) and recent stable patterns reinforce this range, while divergence on any weak frontal passage keeps 25°C at 22% and higher values like 26–27°C below 9% combined. Official monitoring from INMET and global agencies indicates minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with urban station data expected to resolve near the 24°C threshold by evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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