Traders have converged on a 22°C high in São Paulo for August 15 with overwhelming 98.7% implied probability, reflecting real-time surface observations and model consensus from Brazilian meteorological agencies showing persistent cloud cover, moderate Atlantic moisture, and a stable subtropical high suppressing daytime heating in the cool season. Winter climatology supports this range, with typical August maxima near 23°C and limited solar insolation under variable winds. A rapid shift to clear skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 24–25°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such warming unlikely before the measurement window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de agosto?
22°C 99.2%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,886 Vol.
$42,886 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.2%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,886 Vol.
$42,886 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
$9,249 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,478 Vol.
99%
23°C
$9,444 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,570 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,754 Vol.
1%
26°C
$6,242 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,718 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,168 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 22°C high in São Paulo for August 15 with overwhelming 98.7% implied probability, reflecting real-time surface observations and model consensus from Brazilian meteorological agencies showing persistent cloud cover, moderate Atlantic moisture, and a stable subtropical high suppressing daytime heating in the cool season. Winter climatology supports this range, with typical August maxima near 23°C and limited solar insolation under variable winds. A rapid shift to clear skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 24–25°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such warming unlikely before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$42,886Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 22°C high in São Paulo for August 15 with overwhelming 98.7% implied probability, reflecting real-time surface observations and model consensus from Brazilian meteorological agencies showing persistent cloud cover, moderate Atlantic moisture, and a stable subtropical high suppressing daytime heating in the cool season. Winter climatology supports this range, with typical August maxima near 23°C and limited solar insolation under variable winds. A rapid shift to clear skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 24–25°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such warming unlikely before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,886Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 22°C high in São Paulo for August 15 with overwhelming 98.7% implied probability, reflecting real-time surface observations and model consensus from Brazilian meteorological agencies showing persistent cloud cover, moderate Atlantic moisture, and a stable subtropical high suppressing daytime heating in the cool season. Winter climatology supports this range, with typical August maxima near 23°C and limited solar insolation under variable winds. A rapid shift to clear skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 24–25°C, though current steering patterns and humidity levels make such warming unlikely before the measurement window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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