Forecast consensus from ECMWF, KNMI, and Met Office models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and modest daytime heating consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 21–22°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with cloud cover and minor Atlantic moisture keeping values from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as 21°C leads at 59.5% while adjacent outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local observations at Schiphol station. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 17 de agosto?
21°C 60%
20°C 27%
22°C 11%
19°C 3%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
27%
21°C
60%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 60%
20°C 27%
22°C 11%
19°C 3%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
27%
21°C
60%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from ECMWF, KNMI, and Met Office models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and modest daytime heating consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 21–22°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with cloud cover and minor Atlantic moisture keeping values from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as 21°C leads at 59.5% while adjacent outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local observations at Schiphol station. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions