Recent forecast consensus from sources including timeanddate and Trip.com positions daytime highs in Shenzhen near 32–34°C on August 17, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and overcast skies that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, and current model runs show no significant typhoon influence or anomalous warming to push temperatures higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering patterns and precipitation that could cap or slightly elevate the daily maximum depending on cloud cover and timing of any storms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 17 de agosto?
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
38%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
32°C 25%
34°C 25%
31°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
27°C or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$158 Vol.
1%
30°C
$102 Vol.
2%
31°C
$139 Vol.
7%
32°C
$121 Vol.
25%
33°C
$250 Vol.
38%
34°C
$174 Vol.
25%
35°C
$283 Vol.
6%
36°C
$569 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$244 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including timeanddate and Trip.com positions daytime highs in Shenzhen near 32–34°C on August 17, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and overcast skies that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, and current model runs show no significant typhoon influence or anomalous warming to push temperatures higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering patterns and precipitation that could cap or slightly elevate the daily maximum depending on cloud cover and timing of any storms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,062Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including timeanddate and Trip.com positions daytime highs in Shenzhen near 32–34°C on August 17, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and overcast skies that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, and current model runs show no significant typhoon influence or anomalous warming to push temperatures higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering patterns and precipitation that could cap or slightly elevate the daily maximum depending on cloud cover and timing of any storms.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,062Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources including timeanddate and Trip.com positions daytime highs in Shenzhen near 32–34°C on August 17, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, isolated thunderstorms, and overcast skies that limit extreme heating. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, and current model runs show no significant typhoon influence or anomalous warming to push temperatures higher. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering patterns and precipitation that could cap or slightly elevate the daily maximum depending on cloud cover and timing of any storms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions