Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, from sources such as timeanddate.com and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with thundershowers expected, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 44% implied probability. Cloud cover and moisture advection from the East China Sea are suppressing peak heating relative to clearer conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moderating factors over intensification, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given the stable steering patterns and precipitation outlook. Traders are thus pricing the narrow 30–32°C band as the highest-probability resolution range ahead of official China Meteorological Administration verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 17 de agosto?
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
32°C 16%
29°C 6%
NOVO
$11,608 Vol.
NOVO
$11,608 Vol.
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
32%
31°C
44%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
32°C 16%
29°C 6%
NOVO
$11,608 Vol.
NOVO
$11,608 Vol.
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$78 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,134 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,913 Vol.
6%
30°C
$1,332 Vol.
32%
31°C
$1,327 Vol.
44%
32°C
$1,630 Vol.
16%
33°C
$569 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,492 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$814 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, from sources such as timeanddate.com and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with thundershowers expected, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 44% implied probability. Cloud cover and moisture advection from the East China Sea are suppressing peak heating relative to clearer conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moderating factors over intensification, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given the stable steering patterns and precipitation outlook. Traders are thus pricing the narrow 30–32°C band as the highest-probability resolution range ahead of official China Meteorological Administration verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$11,608Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, from sources such as timeanddate.com and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with thundershowers expected, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 44% implied probability. Cloud cover and moisture advection from the East China Sea are suppressing peak heating relative to clearer conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moderating factors over intensification, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given the stable steering patterns and precipitation outlook. Traders are thus pricing the narrow 30–32°C band as the highest-probability resolution range ahead of official China Meteorological Administration verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,608Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 17, 2026, from sources such as timeanddate.com and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with thundershowers expected, consistent with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 44% implied probability. Cloud cover and moisture advection from the East China Sea are suppressing peak heating relative to clearer conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30.8°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moderating factors over intensification, with limited upside risk for 33°C or higher given the stable steering patterns and precipitation outlook. Traders are thus pricing the narrow 30–32°C band as the highest-probability resolution range ahead of official China Meteorological Administration verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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