**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere place the city under the influence of cooler Atlantic air masses and typical mid-latitude westerlies, with historical June averages near 17°C but recent model runs converging on slightly below-normal values amid possible scattered showers and moderate northwesterly winds. The tight clustering around 14–16°C (collectively over 95% probability) reflects minor uncertainties in local orographic effects from Table Mountain and the timing of any frontal passage, while lower-probability tails account for rare berg-wind warming or stronger cold advection. Updated observational data and next model cycles will refine these ranges as the day progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 14 de junho?
15°C 44%
16°C 33%
14°C 19%
17°C 8%
$14,770 Vol.
$14,770 Vol.
9°C ou menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
19%
15°C
44%
16°C
33%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 33%
14°C 19%
17°C 8%
$14,770 Vol.
$14,770 Vol.
9°C ou menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
19%
15°C
44%
16°C
33%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere place the city under the influence of cooler Atlantic air masses and typical mid-latitude westerlies, with historical June averages near 17°C but recent model runs converging on slightly below-normal values amid possible scattered showers and moderate northwesterly winds. The tight clustering around 14–16°C (collectively over 95% probability) reflects minor uncertainties in local orographic effects from Table Mountain and the timing of any frontal passage, while lower-probability tails account for rare berg-wind warming or stronger cold advection. Updated observational data and next model cycles will refine these ranges as the day progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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