**The market's 100% consensus on 88-89°F reflects the official high temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the designated station for this Polymarket resolution.** On June 13, 2026, surface observations and National Weather Service data confirmed a daily maximum in this narrow band under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for mid-June in the New York metro area. This outcome aligns with climatological norms, where early-to-mid June highs in NYC often range from the upper 70s to mid-80s, occasionally nudged higher by warm advection ahead of any frontal passages. Trader positioning tightened rapidly once preliminary station readings and model verification became available on the 13th and early 14th, leaving negligible probability on adjacent bins. The near-certainty accounts for the standard measurement protocol—daily maximum as the highest instantaneous or hourly value at the airport sensor—while acknowledging minor uncertainties such as potential post-processing quality-control adjustments or rare sensor discrepancies. No major forecast-model divergence or unseasonal heat surge occurred to push the outcome outside this range, keeping the market-implied odds firmly anchored to the verified observational record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on June 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 13?
88-89°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$91,924 Vol.
$91,924 Vol.
13 jun 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$91,924 Vol.
$91,924 Vol.
13 jun 2026
81°F or below
$467 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,481 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,724 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$18,633 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$15,308 Vol.
100%
90-91°F
$17,577 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$14,608 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$8,588 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$5,055 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$795 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$720 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's 100% consensus on 88-89°F reflects the official high temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the designated station for this Polymarket resolution.** On June 13, 2026, surface observations and National Weather Service data confirmed a daily maximum in this narrow band under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for mid-June in the New York metro area. This outcome aligns with climatological norms, where early-to-mid June highs in NYC often range from the upper 70s to mid-80s, occasionally nudged higher by warm advection ahead of any frontal passages.
Trader positioning tightened rapidly once preliminary station readings and model verification became available on the 13th and early 14th, leaving negligible probability on adjacent bins. The near-certainty accounts for the standard measurement protocol—daily maximum as the highest instantaneous or hourly value at the airport sensor—while acknowledging minor uncertainties such as potential post-processing quality-control adjustments or rare sensor discrepancies. No major forecast-model divergence or unseasonal heat surge occurred to push the outcome outside this range, keeping the market-implied odds firmly anchored to the verified observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$91,924Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's 100% consensus on 88-89°F reflects the official high temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the designated station for this Polymarket resolution.** On June 13, 2026, surface observations and National Weather Service data confirmed a daily maximum in this narrow band under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for mid-June in the New York metro area. This outcome aligns with climatological norms, where early-to-mid June highs in NYC often range from the upper 70s to mid-80s, occasionally nudged higher by warm advection ahead of any frontal passages.
Trader positioning tightened rapidly once preliminary station readings and model verification became available on the 13th and early 14th, leaving negligible probability on adjacent bins. The near-certainty accounts for the standard measurement protocol—daily maximum as the highest instantaneous or hourly value at the airport sensor—while acknowledging minor uncertainties such as potential post-processing quality-control adjustments or rare sensor discrepancies. No major forecast-model divergence or unseasonal heat surge occurred to push the outcome outside this range, keeping the market-implied odds firmly anchored to the verified observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,924Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market's 100% consensus on 88-89°F reflects the official high temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the designated station for this Polymarket resolution.** On June 13, 2026, surface observations and National Weather Service data confirmed a daily maximum in this narrow band under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and moderate humidity levels typical for mid-June in the New York metro area. This outcome aligns with climatological norms, where early-to-mid June highs in NYC often range from the upper 70s to mid-80s, occasionally nudged higher by warm advection ahead of any frontal passages. Trader positioning tightened rapidly once preliminary station readings and model verification became available on the 13th and early 14th, leaving negligible probability on adjacent bins. The near-certainty accounts for the standard measurement protocol—daily maximum as the highest instantaneous or hourly value at the airport sensor—while acknowledging minor uncertainties such as potential post-processing quality-control adjustments or rare sensor discrepancies. No major forecast-model divergence or unseasonal heat surge occurred to push the outcome outside this range, keeping the market-implied odds firmly anchored to the verified observational record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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