Forecast models from NOAA and private services indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on June 15 under typical early-summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Trader positioning concentrates probability in the 64–69°F range because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Historical June averages place the Central Park low at 67°F, providing a climatological anchor, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance sustains the broad distribution across lower and higher bins. Updated model runs and National Weather Service forecasts issued in the next 12–18 hours represent the next key data points that could alter implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 15 de junho?
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 17%
68-69°F 17%
62-63°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
55°F ou menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
1%
74°F ou mais
<1%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 17%
68-69°F 17%
62-63°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
55°F ou menos
$189 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,267 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,325 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$249 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$110 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$30 Vol.
17%
66-67°F
$37 Vol.
36%
68-69°F
$64 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$28 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$103 Vol.
1%
74°F ou mais
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private services indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on June 15 under typical early-summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Trader positioning concentrates probability in the 64–69°F range because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Historical June averages place the Central Park low at 67°F, providing a climatological anchor, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance sustains the broad distribution across lower and higher bins. Updated model runs and National Weather Service forecasts issued in the next 12–18 hours represent the next key data points that could alter implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$3,575Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private services indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on June 15 under typical early-summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Trader positioning concentrates probability in the 64–69°F range because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Historical June averages place the Central Park low at 67°F, providing a climatological anchor, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance sustains the broad distribution across lower and higher bins. Updated model runs and National Weather Service forecasts issued in the next 12–18 hours represent the next key data points that could alter implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,575Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and private services indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on June 15 under typical early-summer conditions, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling. Trader positioning concentrates probability in the 64–69°F range because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, or timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Historical June averages place the Central Park low at 67°F, providing a climatological anchor, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance sustains the broad distribution across lower and higher bins. Updated model runs and National Weather Service forecasts issued in the next 12–18 hours represent the next key data points that could alter implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions