Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 15 de junho?
12°C 33%
13°C 22%
14°C 13%
11°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
10°C ou menos
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
33%
13°C
29%
14°C
13%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
12°C 33%
13°C 22%
14°C 13%
11°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
10°C ou menos
$8 Vol.
2%
11°C
$51 Vol.
13%
12°C
$71 Vol.
33%
13°C
$58 Vol.
29%
14°C
$25 Vol.
13%
15°C
$28 Vol.
5%
16°C
$276 Vol.
1%
17°C
$556 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$201 Vol.
1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou mais
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$1,302Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,302Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe have promoted clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling in Paris, anchoring the June 15 minimum near 12–13°C per the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Daytime highs approaching 23–25°C under light winds allow efficient heat loss overnight, though boundary-layer moisture and any Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty between those two bins. Climatological June lows typically range 11–16°C, and current model spreads assign comparable probability to 12°C versus 13°C outcomes, aligning with trader-implied odds near 27–30% each while leaving lower or higher thresholds at single-digit levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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