Latest official forecasts for Shanghai on June 11, 2026, from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high of 33°C under overcast skies with minimal precipitation, while other models center nearer 31°C amid typical early-June plum rain conditions that increase cloud cover and humidity. These patterns historically suppress peak temperatures below late-summer levels by limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the 28–32°C climatological range for the period. Trader consensus reflected in the 70% implied probability for 31°C and 21.5% for 32°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor shifts in afternoon clearing or moisture could push the observed maximum slightly higher or lower before official China Meteorological Administration readings finalize the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
31°C 70%
32°C 25%
30°C 8%
33°C 1.0%
$64,897 Vol.
$64,897 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
70%
32°C
25%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 70%
32°C 25%
30°C 8%
33°C 1.0%
$64,897 Vol.
$64,897 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
70%
32°C
25%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts for Shanghai on June 11, 2026, from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high of 33°C under overcast skies with minimal precipitation, while other models center nearer 31°C amid typical early-June plum rain conditions that increase cloud cover and humidity. These patterns historically suppress peak temperatures below late-summer levels by limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the 28–32°C climatological range for the period. Trader consensus reflected in the 70% implied probability for 31°C and 21.5% for 32°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor shifts in afternoon clearing or moisture could push the observed maximum slightly higher or lower before official China Meteorological Administration readings finalize the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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