Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high temperature near 80–82°F for Chicago on June 12, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. A lingering warm, humid airmass from the prior several days of above-normal readings across the Midwest supports modest daytime heating, while increasing northwest flow and possible cloud cover introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk. Climatological normals place the June 12 average high at 79.6°F, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly tempered by forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on June 12?
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 11%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 11%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high temperature near 80–82°F for Chicago on June 12, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. A lingering warm, humid airmass from the prior several days of above-normal readings across the Midwest supports modest daytime heating, while increasing northwest flow and possible cloud cover introduce cooling potential that caps upside risk. Climatological normals place the June 12 average high at 79.6°F, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly tempered by forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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