Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Miami points to overnight lows near 78°F on June 12, underpinning the market's leading 31.5% implied probability for the 78-79°F range amid typical early-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorms. Key variables include variable cloud cover and convective timing that can limit nocturnal cooling, sea-breeze influences from the Atlantic and Gulf, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations show upper-70s minima consistent with this pattern, above the 1991-2020 June average of roughly 76°F, while the broad probability distribution across 74-83°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized rainfall effects before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 12 de junho?
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
7%
84°F ou mais
1%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 13%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
7%
84°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Miami points to overnight lows near 78°F on June 12, underpinning the market's leading 31.5% implied probability for the 78-79°F range amid typical early-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorms. Key variables include variable cloud cover and convective timing that can limit nocturnal cooling, sea-breeze influences from the Atlantic and Gulf, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations show upper-70s minima consistent with this pattern, above the 1991-2020 June average of roughly 76°F, while the broad probability distribution across 74-83°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized rainfall effects before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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