Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 11 de junho?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F ou menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Vol.
$16,371 Vol.
67°F ou menos
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Sim
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86°F ou superior
Não
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F ou menos <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$16,371 Vol.
$16,371 Vol.
67°F ou menos
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Sim
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86°F ou superior
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus has converged on an 78-79°F low for Miami on June 11 because official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum in that exact band, consistent with the seasonal climatology of 76-80°F overnight lows during early June. Persistent warm, humid tropical air under light easterly flow limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. With the event now complete and data released, implied probability exceeds 99% as the market nears resolution. The only realistic adjustment would come from a late revision in the NWS daily climatological report, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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