Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
29%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
16°C or below
$303 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$515 Vol.
1%
18°C
$383 Vol.
1%
19°C
$506 Vol.
5%
20°C
$184 Vol.
18%
21°C
$138 Vol.
29%
22°C
$219 Vol.
30%
23°C
$307 Vol.
17%
24°C
$609 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,375 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$2,520 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$7,007Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,007Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Moscow’s June 15 afternoon maximum near 21–22 °C, driving the near-even market probabilities between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest southwesterly flow are limiting daytime radiative heating while preventing stronger warm advection, keeping the distribution tightly centered. Small differences in the timing or intensity of any convective cells could shift the observed peak by 1 °C, explaining the modest probabilities assigned to 20 °C and 23 °C. Historical June maxima average around 21–22 °C, so current guidance aligns with climatology but retains typical short-range uncertainty until the final model runs and observational updates arrive overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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