Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 16 centered near 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits daytime solar heating. Moderate southerly flow and high humidity further moderate peaks, keeping values close to seasonal norms around 27°C. Small probability spreads across adjacent bins reflect model spread in exact timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts. New 0z/12z runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates traders monitor before resolution, as even modest changes in boundary-layer moisture or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
27°C 31%
26°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 11.2%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
18%
26°C
31%
27°C
31%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 31%
26°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 11.2%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
18%
26°C
31%
27°C
31%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai maximum temperatures on June 16 centered near 26–27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits daytime solar heating. Moderate southerly flow and high humidity further moderate peaks, keeping values close to seasonal norms around 27°C. Small probability spreads across adjacent bins reflect model spread in exact timing of any partial clearing or wind shifts. New 0z/12z runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates traders monitor before resolution, as even modest changes in boundary-layer moisture or insolation can shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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