Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 15 de junho?
22°C 40%
21°C 36.6%
23°C 8%
20°C 3.5%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
28%
22°C
54%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 36.6%
23°C 8%
20°C 3.5%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
28%
22°C
54%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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