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Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner

David Roth 93%

Nickolas Bonds 6.0%

Brad Moore 1.3%

Polymarket

$19,594 Vol.

David Roth 93%

Nickolas Bonds 6.0%

Brad Moore 1.3%

Polymarket

$19,594 Vol.

David Roth

$14,975 Vol.

93%

Nickolas Bonds

$2,222 Vol.

6%

Brad Moore

$2,397 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Roth commands 92.5% trader consensus in the Idaho Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, reflecting his established profile as the party's 2022 Senate nominee against Mike Crapo, recent 2024 House candidacy, and fundraising lead of $7,500 versus negligible sums for challengers Nickolas Bonds and Brad Moore. Recent Idaho Statesman endorsement yesterday highlighted Roth's experience, articulation, and strongest general election matchup against incumbent Jim Risch, bolstering his frontrunner status amid low-visibility race dynamics and absent primary polling. With early voting underway, scenarios like a late scandal, regional turnout surge for Bonds in North Idaho, or Moore among working-class voters could shift odds, though Roth's visibility presents high barriers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$19,594
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Roth commands 92.5% trader consensus in the Idaho Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, reflecting his established profile as the party's 2022 Senate nominee against Mike Crapo, recent 2024 House candidacy, and fundraising lead of $7,500 versus negligible sums for challengers Nickolas Bonds and Brad Moore. Recent Idaho Statesman endorsement yesterday highlighted Roth's experience, articulation, and strongest general election matchup against incumbent Jim Risch, bolstering his frontrunner status amid low-visibility race dynamics and absent primary polling. With early voting underway, scenarios like a late scandal, regional turnout surge for Bonds in North Idaho, or Moore among working-class voters could shift odds, though Roth's visibility presents high barriers.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$19,594
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Roth" at 93%, followed by "Nickolas Bonds" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $19.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "David Roth" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nickolas Bonds" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.