Real Madrid's 69% implied win probability reflects their strong home record at Santiago Bernabéu and dominant head-to-head history against Athletic Club, claiming 24 of the last 34 meetings, as they host the final La Liga matchday on May 24. Key returns of Dani Carvajal (toe) and Federico Valverde (head injury) bolster the squad after a 2-0 El Clásico loss to leaders Barcelona on May 10, with Kylian Mbappé back from hamstring issues following a May 14 Copa del Rey win. Athletic Club's 27.5% reflects Basque side's solid season but absences like Nico Williams, Yuri Berchiche, and Daniel Vivian, plus weaker away form versus top teams. The 23% draw odds highlight potential for a cautious finale with European stakes for Bilbao.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Madrid's 69% implied win probability reflects their strong home record at Santiago Bernabéu and dominant head-to-head history against Athletic Club, claiming 24 of the last 34 meetings, as they host the final La Liga matchday on May 24. Key returns of Dani Carvajal (toe) and Federico Valverde (head injury) bolster the squad after a 2-0 El Clásico loss to leaders Barcelona on May 10, with Kylian Mbappé back from hamstring issues following a May 14 Copa del Rey win. Athletic Club's 27.5% reflects Basque side's solid season but absences like Nico Williams, Yuri Berchiche, and Daniel Vivian, plus weaker away form versus top teams. The 23% draw odds highlight potential for a cautious finale with European stakes for Bilbao.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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