Current forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 3 de setembro?
22°C or higher 69%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
12°C or below
9%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
16%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
24%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
69%
22°C or higher 69%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
9%
13°C
$65 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$85Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate mild conditions for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with overnight lows likely near 16–18°C amid westerly flow and elevated dew points from Atlantic moisture. This supports the market's dispersed probabilities, where outcomes from 15–18°C cluster near 25% each while 22°C or higher leads at 34.5%, reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light rain chances. Key differentiators include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress mixing, historical early-September baselines around 12°C lows, and upcoming model runs that may tighten consensus ahead of resolution. Trader sentiment aggregates these atmospheric variables with real capital at stake.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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