Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 1º de setembro?
19°C 100.0%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
$725 Vol.
$725 Vol.
1 set 2026
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
19°C 100.0%
14°C 20%
15°C 20%
16°C 20%
$725 Vol.
$725 Vol.
1 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$160 Vol.
Não
13°C
$160 Vol.
Não
14°C
$5 Vol.
Não
15°C
$15 Vol.
Não
16°C
$0 Vol.
Não
17°C
$0 Vol.
Não
18°C
$0 Vol.
Não
19°C
$230 Vol.
Sim
20°C
$45 Vol.
Não
21°C
$55 Vol.
Não
22°C ou mais
$55 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$725Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$725Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 19°C low in Jinan on September 1, 2026, reflecting observed overnight minimums under clear skies, light easterly winds near 3–5 m/s, and dew points around 15–17°C that limited radiative cooling. Regional model consensus from agencies tracking the North China Plain shows no frontal passages or moisture surges, aligning the daily minimum with long-term September climatology where overnight lows typically reach 18–21°C. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates real-time station data confirming the threshold was met without revision risk. Unlikely challengers include late-day cold advection or unforecast fog that could depress readings below 19°C, though current high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make such shifts improbable before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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